新加坡副总理颜金勇谈亚洲的未来:碎片化世界中的亚洲角色

B站影视 日本电影 2025-09-12 01:01 1

摘要:我们正处在一个全球不确定性加剧的时代。战略竞争日益激烈,保护主义不断加深,从贸易到气候合作等全球公共领域正面临压力。然而,在这片动荡之中,亚洲有机会脱颖而出。

今天(9月11日),新加坡副总理兼贸工部长颜金勇在亚洲愿景论坛以“穿越不确定性:碎片化世界中的亚洲角色”为题发表了开幕演讲。

图源:财新网

以下内容根据新加坡贸工部新闻稿翻译整理:

尊敬的各位来宾,女士们、先生们:

大家早上好!很高兴今天早上能与大家相聚在2025年财新亚洲新愿景论坛。

我们正处在一个全球不确定性加剧的时代。战略竞争日益激烈,保护主义不断加深,从贸易到气候合作等全球公共领域正面临压力。然而,在这片动荡之中,亚洲有机会脱颖而出。

亚洲拥有坚实的基础——包括庞大且相对年轻的人口、不断壮大的中产阶级,以及良好的实体和数字互联互通。亚洲有望成为全球增长最快的地区之一。但在这个碎片化的世界中,要实现其增长潜力,亚洲必须将自己定位为一个能够提供稳定、开放和包容的地区。让我分享一下我对于亚洲如何在这三个方面为世界提供差异化价值主张的看法。

成为和平与稳定的锚点

亚洲必须继续维护和平与稳定。

近年来,包括非洲、欧洲和中东在内的许多地区都爆发了武装冲突。这些冲突不仅影响了生命和生计,也对全球供应链造成了重大影响。我们所在的地区也存在紧张局势和争端,但幸运的是,我们总体上维持了和平。

这种相对的稳定是亚洲经济崛起的关键推动力之一,使各国能够专注于增长与发展,吸引投资,并建立如今支撑全球经济的跨境供应链。但我们不能将此视为理所当然——我们从近期经验中知道,和平是脆弱的,冲突随时可能爆发。

因此,我们必须继续保持对话渠道畅通,在冲突出现时保持克制,并加强有助于我们管控分歧的区域机制。令人鼓舞的是,我们看到中印两国最近通过边境军事对话、外交磋商,以及中国国家主席与莫迪总理的会晤,实现了关系的缓和。

同样,我们也感谢泰国和柬埔寨在今年早些时候的边境冲突后,至今维持了双方同意的停火状态。尽管分歧依然存在,但当前的局势让我们看到了邻国之间仍可以寻求和平,而不是让争端升级的希望。

在一个容易陷入冲突的碎片化世界中,我们对对话、克制与和平解决争端的承诺显得尤为重要。这将使亚洲继续成为世界和平与稳定的锚点。

推进区域一体化

亚洲必须继续推进区域主义和经济一体化。在世界许多地方,国家正在转向内部,设置贸易和投资壁垒,优先考虑经济安全和国家利益。以世界贸易组织为核心的多边贸易体系正面临巨大压力。

然而,亚洲必须推动开放与更深层次的一体化。《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》(RCEP)就是一个很好的例子。如今,RCEP由10个东盟成员国和5个东盟自由贸易伙伴(澳大利亚、中国、日本、韩国和新西兰)组成,是全球最大的贸易协定,覆盖全球约30%的GDP、约三分之一的全球出口以及全球三分之一的人口。

除了消除约92%产品的关税壁垒外,RCEP还为企业在RCEP区域内提供了统一且简化的原产地规则。我们应在此基础上,寻求扩大RCEP的成员范围。在这方面,我们欢迎孟加拉国、智利、中国香港特别行政区和斯里兰卡表示有意加入RCEP,以及其他有能力达到其标准的经济体。

同时,我们也应与其他经济集团如欧盟和海合会接触,探索潜在的合作领域,包括数字贸易和供应链韧性。虽然这些集团可能无法加入RCEP,但仍有机会在共同关心的领域开展合作。通过这样做,我们也将为RCEP成为亚太自由贸易协定的路径奠定基础,实现一个更加无缝和一体化的亚太经济体的愿景。

通过更深层次的经济一体化,我们可以利用我们多元经济的比较优势,为企业和投资者提供有吸引力的价值主张,并向他们保证,亚洲将继续对商品、服务、资本和思想的流动保持开放。

包容与进步的合作

亚洲可以成为一个包容与进步合作的典范。我们的地区高度多元化——在地理、规模、治理体系和发展水平上都存在差异。我们不能让这种多样性成为合作与一体化的障碍;相反,我们必须将其作为优势和力量的源泉。

以低碳转型为例——我们共同承担应对气候变化的责任,但并非所有国家面临相同的挑战,或以相同的速度前进。

一些拥有丰富可再生能源供应的国家可能能够更快地淘汰化石燃料,并支持其他国家的转型;

一些国家可能需要走更艰难的道路,或需要更多的时间和资源来建立基础设施并获得融资以实现能源转型。

“共同但有区别的责任”原则使亚洲能够共同前进,但通过不同的路径,并不失对一个更可持续未来的共同目标的追求。

另一个例子是数字经济。从支付系统、数字平台、电子商务到人工智能,亚洲一直是数字创新的中心,是经济发展的关键驱动力。然而,亚洲在数字准备方面存在显著差距,无论是在基础设施、互联互通、数字技能,还是网络安全准备方面。

因此,在谈判《东盟数字经济框架协议》时,我们采取了差异化的方式,让那些更有雄心且准备更充分的国家可以先走一步,同时为其他国家在准备好时加入敞开大门。

我们同样可以采取分层方式,扩大与其他亚洲国家的数字经济协议,使我们能够以既雄心勃勃又灵活包容的方式,增强数字贸易流动并发展数字经济。

这样,亚洲可以成为全球经济走向实用多边主义道路的开路先锋。

我上面概述的这三个方面,展示了亚洲如何展现稳定、开放和包容的好处,从而继续成为一个充满增长和机遇的有吸引力的地区。这不仅将使我们能够实现属于我们亚洲人的亚洲世纪,也将为一个更美好的世界世纪作出贡献。

谢谢大家。

以下是新闻稿英文原文:

Distinguished guests,

Ladies and gentlemen,

Good morning to all of you. It is a great pleasure to join you this morning at the Caixin Asia New Vision Forum 2025.

We meet at a time of heightened uncertainty in the world. Strategic rivalries are sharpening. Protectionism is deepening. The global commons – from trade to climate cooperation – is under stress.

And yet, amidst this turbulence, Asia has an opportunity to stand out.

Asia has strong fundamentals – including a vast and relatively young population; a rising middle class; and good physical and digital connectivity. Asia is poised to be one of the fastest growing regions of the world.

But to realise its growth potential in a fragmented world, Asia must position itself as a region that can offer stability, openness and inclusiveness.

Let me share my thoughts on how Asia can offer a differentiated value proposition to the world in each of these areas.

Anchor for peace and stability

First, Asia must continue to safeguard peace and stability.

Across many regions, including Africa, Europe and the Middle East, we have seen the eruption of armed conflicts in recent years.

In addition to the impact on lives and livelihoods, these conflicts also have significant consequences on global supply chains.

Our region too has seen tension and disputes, but thankfully, we have managed by and large to preserve peace.

This relative stability has been one of the key enablers of Asia’s economic rise, by allowing countries to focus on growth and development, to attract investment, and to build resilient cross-border supply chains that now support the global economy.

But we cannot take this for granted – we know from recent experience that peace is fragile and clashes will arise from time to time.

It is therefore critical that we continue to keep dialogue channels open, exercise restraint when conflicts emerge, and strengthen regional mechanisms that can help us manage our differences.

In this spirit, it is encouraging to see the recent rapprochement between China and India, through military-to-military talks along their borders, diplomatic consultations, and most recently meetings between President Xi and Prime Minister Modi.

Similarly, we are thankful that both Thailand and Cambodia have thus far maintained the ceasefire that both sides have agreed to, following their border clashes earlier this year. Even though differences remain, the current state of affairs offers hope that neighbours can still agree to seek peace, rather than let their disputes escalate.

Our commitment to dialogue, restraint and peaceful settlement of disputes is even more critical in a fragmented world that is prone to conflict. This will allow Asia to remain an anchor of peace and stability in the world.

Pushing ahead for regional integration

Second, Asia must continue to push ahead with regionalism and economic integration.

In many parts of the world, countries are turning inward, erecting barriers to trade and investment, and prioritising economic security and national interest.

The multilateral trading system, anchored in the World Trade Organisation, is under immense strain.

Yet Asia must push for openness and greater integration.

The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) is a good example of this.

Today, the RCEP – comprising 10 ASEAN Member States and five ASEAN FTA partners, namely Australia, China, Japan, South Korea and New Zealand – is the world’s largest trade Agreement, covering approximately 30% of global GDP, and about a third of global exports as well as a third of the world’s population.

In addition to eliminating tariff barriers on about 92% of products, the RCEP offers businesses common and streamlined rules of origin for trade within the RCEP region.

We should build on this by seeking to enlarge and expand the membership of the RCEP. In this regard, we welcome the interest from Bangladesh, Chile, Hong Kong SAR and Sri Lanka to join the RCEP, as well as other economies who are able to meet its standards.

At the same time, we should engage other economic blocs such as the EU and the GCC to explore areas of potential collaboration. This will include digital trade and supply chain resilience. While it may not be possible for these blocs to join the RCEP, there will be opportunities to work together on areas of mutual interest.

In doing so, we will also lay the foundation for the RCEP to become a pathway towards a Free Trade Agreement of the Asia-Pacific, and realise the vision of a more seamless and integrated Asia-Pacific economy.

With greater regional economic integration, we can tap on the comparative advantages of our diverse economies to offer a compelling value proposition to businesses and investors, and reassure them that Asia will continue to remain open to the flow of goods, services, capital, and ideas.

Inclusive and progressive cooperation

Third, Asia can present itself as a model for inclusive and progressive cooperation.

Our region is highly diverse – in geography, size, systems of governance, and levels of development.

We must not let this diversity become an obstacle for cooperation and integration; instead, we must harness it as an advantage and a source of strength.

Take the low-carbon transition as an example – we all share the responsibility to tackle climate change, but not all countries face the same challenges or move at the same pace.

Some countries with an abundant supply of renewable energy may be able to phase out fossil fuels more quickly and support the transition of others; some countries may have to pursue more difficult pathways or require more time and resources to do so, such as to build out the infrastructure and secure the financing to make the energy transition.

The principle of ‘common but differentiated responsibilities’ allows Asia to move forward together, but through different pathways and without losing sight on the common objective of a more sustainable future.

Another example is the digital economy.

From payment systems, digital platforms, e-commerce to AI, Asia has been a hub for digital innovation, a key driver for economic development.

Yet there are significant gaps across Asia in digital readiness, be it in infrastructure, connectivity, digital skills, or cybersecurity readiness.

This is why in negotiating the ASEAN Digital Economy Framework Agreement, we have taken a differentiated approach that will allow those with higher ambition and who are more ready to move ahead to do so first, while keeping the door open for others to join in when they are ready.

We can likewise adopt a tiered approach in expanding our digital economy agreements with other countries in Asia, so that we can enhance the flow of digital trade and grow the digital economy in a way that is not only ambitious but also flexible and inclusive.

This way, Asia can be a pathfinder for the world economy towards a practical approach on multilateralism.

Conclusion

These three areas I’ve outlined above show how Asia can demonstrate the benefits of stability, openness and inclusiveness, and in doing so, remain an attractive region of growth and opportunities.

This will not only enable us to realise an Asian century for our people, but also contribute to a better century for the world.

Thank you.

来源:新加坡眼一点号

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